Computing Device Market Forecast

Source: DTTL, 2010

Deloitte recently produced their 2011 Predictions for Technology, Media & Telecommunications. I’ve combed through these predictions for you to highlight the ones that marketers need to know:

  1. Rise of Tablet Computers. Deloitte predicts that more than 25% of all tablet computers in 2011 will be bought by enterprises, and that figure is expected to rise in 2012 and beyond.  The retail, manufacturing and healthcare industries are presumed to become early adopters. This means that marketers need to pay attention to how their online communications come across in tablets (in addition to other mobile devices).
  2. Tipping Point for Non-PCs. Correlating with the first point on the rise of table computers, the era of the PC is coming to a close.  While traditional PCs (desktops, laptops, netbooks) will still be the main platform for 2011 and immediate years to come, the landscape is changing rapidly with the increase of tablets and smartphones.  Along with the increase in non-PCs has come the growth of the application industry which is only in its infancy. The industry is expected to grow 60% in 2011 to over $10 billion.
  3. Operating System Diversity. While the adoption of non-PCs is rising, no dominant operating system (OS) has yet to emerge, which means that there is no defacto standard.  In a fragmented OS world, it means that no one app developed for a single platform can address the entire market. Marketers will need to understand that developing customized apps or versions for each OS requires time and money (between $5,000 – $500,000, depending on complexity) so they will need to pick and choose the markets they want to target wisely.
  4. Social Networking Advertising Continues to Grow. While social network advertising revenues are still less than 1% of the global advertising spend, the potential for this channel is huge.  Deloitte predicts that 2011 will see over one billion unique social network members and a 40% year over year growth  in advertising revenues.  In addition to advertising revenues, other forms of revenue for social networks include serving as a payment platform for apps and e-commerce.  A blended e-commerce store model may be one where networks charge for online retail space and earn a commission on any sales.  What is certain is that marketers need to expand their use of social media to protect their image and reputation in online networks as people overwhelmingly trust peer recommendations (78%) over advertisements (14%).

Advertising spending has started to rebound this year after last year’s slide, according to a recent article in Marketing Magazine. Canadian advertising spending has rebounded more quickly than U.S. post-recession ad spending with Canadian ad spending expected to grow 5.4% in 2010, compared with 1.1% in the U.S.

Year over Year Total Advertising Expenditures in Canada:

  • 2008: $10.2 billion
  • 2009: $9.3 billion; down 8.4%
  • 2010 (projected): $9.84 billion
  • 2011 (projected): $10.2 billion
  • 2012 (projected): $10.6 billion
  • Fueling the rebound is spending in Internet Advertising as it continues to climb and will soon become the 2nd most popular medium in 2011. Internet advertising spending is projected to rise 13% this year and 12.7% next year to $2.2 billion, when it will pass newspaper advertising as the second most popular medium in the country behind only TV.

    Other key findings from the report include:

    • Paid search made up 50.2% of all Internet spending in 2009 and expectations are that it will get to 52.6% by 2012.
    • Display’s contribution to total internet spend fell from 32.9% in 2008 to 31.9% in 2009.
    • New formats such as web video, mobile and social media are expected to help display stabilize this year and increase its share of internet spend to 32% in 2012.
    • In 2009, about $18 million was spent on mobile advertising, rising to $30 million this year, $55 million in 2011 and $92 million the year after that.

    Branding
    This Five-Letter Word is Key to Marketing: B-R-A-N-D

    Search
    Internet Marketing 101: Why Mobile Search is Different than Typical Search

    Social Media
    Facebook Crosses 300 Million Users and is Now Profitable
    20% of Tweets are Brand-Oriented
    Are Women Ignoring Social Media Marketing?

    Mobile
    Social Networking Going Mobile: 25% of Facebook Traffic from Smartphones

    Media
    Email and Social Media Top Marketer’s Media Mix for 2010

    Marketing Budgets & ROI
    Cutbacks Force Greater Marketing Accountability and Collaboration
    Measuring the Business Effects of Web 2.0


    Overview

    Microsoft recently relaunched their search platform under a new banner, Bing. The previous incarnation, Microsoft AdCenter, launched a few years ago and has never really challenged Google’s market share leadership. There are three key hurdles Microsoft faces in trying to gain a stronger foothold in the search market:

    1. Microsoft has to compete with the familiarity of Google and overcome the habits people have established with it. With people often being creatures of habit, this isn’t easily accomplished.
    2. They need to create a product that not only catches up to, but also surpasses the existing market leader with new bells and whistles that users wouldn’t otherwise have access to.
    3. Microsoft’s brand is not as strong as Google’s and Google continues to carefully cultivated evangelism toward their brand.

    Today’s Opinion

    So far most influencers online are panning Bing, but they know that raising the search bar will only elevate everyone else’s game. Microsoft has positioned Bing as a decision making tool, alluding to the fact that this might be the long awaited foray into Web 3.0, also known as the Semantic Web. However, in its current state, Bing is not a product that is revolutionizing search. Microsoft is employing similar strategies they’ve used in the past to incentivize people to use their search platform, such as Club Bing.

    There are still some black box features to Bing, but one known feature is the reverse IP look-up executed during a search query. What that enables Bing to do is identify the person’s geographic location and serve localized content and mix it within the results.

    They have layered the interface with some nice roll over previewing functionality, added some dynamic global navigation against the search results and other minor bells and whistles; but again it’s basic functionality and results delivery aren’t yet gigantic leaps forward.

    Microsoft is spending a lot of money to promote their newest search solution. The ad campaign looks good, but any buzz to date has been manufactured; so the real questions will be answered once the ad dollars cease beyond the launch phase and we’ll see if they maintain growth or even sustain the market share they acquire during the promotional launch period.

    What Bing Means to Marketers

    So far, Microsoft’s Bing still lags behind Google and Yahoo in market share. There’s no doubt they will gain more ground, which will likely come from setting Bing as the default page in their next Explorer release and embedding it’s search capabilities into Hotmail and other existing Microsoft platforms. For most marketers major changes to SEO and SEM strategies aren’t recommended at this point as it’s worth waiting for to see what adoption rates will look like.


    Marshall McLuhan coined the phrase, “The Medium is the Message” in 1964. His theory postulated that how the media is deployed is equally important to the actual content, as it influences how the message is received. In his theory, there is no distinction between paid and non paid media and while this is an older definition, it is still held true today.

    At a November 15, 2008 U.S. forum on digital media, P&G marketing executive Ted McConnell, stated that “I think when we call it ‘consumer-generated media,’ we’re being predatory. Who said this is media? Media is something you can buy and sell. Media contains inventory.” Mr. McConnell really defined Media as “paid” placement, whereas social media and user generated content on places like Facebook had no merit as being termed Media.

    The two definitions of media are different. Our belief is somewhere in between the two definitions. We believe that media can be paid or non-paid and it’s the context that matters. Simply throwing up a banner type placement within a social media environment does not effectively communicate any marketer’s message. However, determining tools to engage and encourage communication within these forums can effectively use the medium. 

    Simply put, Media can be the message as long as it is put into the context of understanding the environment and the users’ mindset, needs and motivations.